Formal logic was developed from natural language and
reasoning, but not all people understand language in the same way, and many
people are careless in their use of natural language. For example, there are
people who only use the present tense, even though there was a past, and there
will be a future. And there are a few
deficiencies in natural language. For example, there is nothing that directly
shows whether something is intended as an opinion or as fact, and this can lead
to significant problems.
There is nothing in the verbiage, or in the language,
that differentiates between fact and fantasy and marketing campaigns. If I were
to tell you that Calvados is the healthiest type of alcoholic beverage, then
you could either believe me or not, but there is nothing in the statement (or
assertion) to show you whether it is true. Determination of truth requires knowledge
and understanding on the part of the hearer or reader. Unfortunately, many
people do not have the knowledge and logical ability to be able to determine
whether a given statement is true, and they often do not understand enough to
hold off believing something until they look into the matter. Even worse, they may look to an unreliable
source for validation of facts.
One example of that relates to the old foolishness about
cholesterol. We have known for decades that while the plaque that causes coronary
blockage is made up of cholesterol, there are mechanisms by which the plaque is
deposited, and those mechanisms do not relate to serum cholesterol levels. But
there are people who still follow the old, and disproven, idea that the more
cholesterol there is in the blood, the higher the chance that a person will
have a heart attack.
There are even people who think that eating things that
are high in cholesterol will lead to heart failure. In fact, cholesterol is an
easily digested, highly nutritious food that should be regarded as a compact
source of energy.
Little matters like correlation not showing causation and
unfalsifiable statements not being logically valid are common in marketing,
whether one is selling cholesterol lowering medicines or religions. I only used
the example above, because it came up in conversation recently. Good marketers
love people who have no training in logic. I am sure that they shudder whenever
they hear any suggestion that students be trained in logic from the earliest
grades. I earlier wrote blogs about the urban myths of a half gallon of water a
day and the fallacy of serum cholesterol causing coronary thrombosis, so I
won’t go into greater detail.
At least as bad as those are the matters that are claimed
by purveyors of conspiracy theories. A few days ago I watched some videos by
David Icke, and I was amazed that anyone had the nerve to claim that any of
them are evidence of anything other than being strong evidence that Mr. Icke
was trying to fool people and not doing a good job, but there are enough who
think otherwise that Mr. Icke eats well, and I won’t begrudge a man his living.
With that said, I will assert that the primary reason why
conspiracy theories are as successful as they are is that few people learn
grammar well, and even fewer learn much logic, and even fewer develop the
critical judgment necessary to determine whether something makes sense. All
that makes life easy for snake oil merchants and makes elementary school
teachers jobs easier than it would be if they had to teach logic.
I don’t see any significant difference among proponents
of bogus religions (such as Mormonism and Scientology), creators of
conspiracies (such as Mr. Icke and Erich von Däniken), and marketers
who spin lies to gain sales (such as whoever ran the bottled water marketing
campaign). They are all telling lies for their own good and to the detriment of
their audiences. There are many people who will say “It was on TV or on the
History Channel,” as if that validates a statement. People can say anything
that they want to on TV, and it is legal, and it need not be accurate. The
courts have long held that “puffery” in marketing is legal, even if it is not
accurate. “The world’s best coffee” probably was made by someone who didn’t
even claim that the coffee was the best in town, much less the world, but Dunkin
Donuts has filed a trademark on that phrase.
The link below is to a free, online, textbook in Logic.
There are many other free online books, webpages, and courses in logic. Most
people, myself included, could use a better knowledge of logic.
http://www.nyu.edu/classes/velleman/blogic/Logic/frameset.html
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